The Middle East has been on the verge of a large -scale war for almost a year, but now the situation has become especially dangerous. The attacks of Israel in the Gaza, Yemen and Lebanon sector indicate that the ancient restraint in the region has collapsed.
Iran promised a "decisive reaction" to Israel's attacks on his allies, but according to Sky News, Tehran was probably wrong in assessing Israel's readiness for risk. In response to the aggression of Israel, the Iranian leadership is thinking about whether its nuclear objects will become the following goals of the tanal.
The unspoken rules that previously held back the direct attacks of Israel on Iran were violated after the elimination of Hezbolla leader in Lebanon and massive aircraft at Hamas in Gaza. Israeli troops are preparing for a possible ground invasion of Lebanon, trying to strike a devastating blow to Hezbolli, which is the most valuable "insurance policy" of Iran.
The speed and intensity of events complicate the forecasting of the further development of the situation. Iran, according to analysts, seeks to restore restraint, but it can be too late. Israel intends to achieve a fundamental shift in the balance of forces in the region where the "resistance axis", funded and trained by Iran, has become a powerful force.
Matthew Seville, Director of Military Sciences at the Royal Joint Defense Institute, noted that Iran usually checks his actions to avoid escalation before war with Israel. However, he stressed that Tehran seems to have been calculated in the assessment of Israel's readiness for risk, especially after attacks on October 7, which had seriously changed the situation in the region.
Hezbolla's military group has already carried out a series of unmanned and missile attacks north of Israel, warning about the further retribution for the murder of a high -ranking grouping official. The situation in the Middle East continues to exacerbate, increasing the risk of further conflicts.
