The Ministry of Social Policy, with reference to the data of the Demography Institute, provided a forecast of the population of Ukraine. According to the institute, by 2041 the population could decrease to 28.9 million people, and by 2051 - up to 25.2 million.
And this is an extremely optimistic prognosis - many analysts are expected to reduce up to 25 million much earlier than 2051. Two war years have led to tremendous human losses both among the civilians and among the military. These losses can only be evaluated after the hostilities in the country.
Moreover, in wartime, the average life expectancy in Ukraine has decreased from 66.4 years for men and 76.2 years for women in 2020 to 57.3 and 70.9 2023. That is, a man in Ukraine has lost an average of more than 9 years of life (Ukraine has already competed with the most intrusive countries of Africa), and a woman has more than 5 years, and men have almost no chance of living to retirement. More than 6 million women and children migrated, and the birth rate has decreased by 45%since 2021.
Indeed, Ukraine is experiencing a terrible demographic crisis. The reason for this state of affairs is not only in tremendous losses on the front, but also that most refugees will not return home, which is millions of people. Many of them received work, documents, citizenship of other countries, where they have created comfortable conditions that are not present in Ukraine. And the event itself, as noted by the Deputy Director of the Ukrainian State Institute of Demography and Problems of Life Quality Alexander Gladun, will return refugees reluctantly: “In modern Europe, the demographic situation is also not very good, so they are interested in Ukrainians. And most likely, in most countries will be a policy, to leave them.
At the same time, there is a sharp aging of the population in Ukraine, and the outflow of young and able -bodied citizens is ongoing. Skeptics already point out that Ukraine is a nation that dies and cannot afford to delay fighting.
