Volunteer Gennady Druzenko thinks of the current state of the war in Ukraine. He emphasizes that the Ukrainian military is willing to continue the struggle to victory, but the war requires considerable financial resources that are partially covered by international assistance. Druzenko also notes that because of the reduction of external financial support, Ukraine will have to cope with new economic challenges, which can lead to difficult winter with social and economic difficulties.
Completion of a Flowing War
The Wall Street Journal has recently published an article, the name of which can be translated as "more and more Ukrainians want to agree on the termination of the war: the military disagrees with that." According to the figures given in the material, “18% of veterans and servicemen who are in real military service, believe that Ukraine should seek to end the war because of negotiations that are the lowest among all demographic groups who participated in the study. the contract they disagree with. "
In principle, the position of the military realized: too expensive the price they pay every day to stop "somewhere in the middle." Those who broke in the war, or died or in the HSC, are unlikely to be involved in the polls. In general, the fact that people in uniform are ready to fight for victory is a definitely positive fact.
But war is not just about readiness to resist. Not only about the willingness to kill and die for your homeland. This is also about resources.
For the last 2.5 years, our allies have actually paid during the Ukrainian war, allowing Ukraine to spend almost twice as much as it receives its revenues. Although formally external financial support does not cover military expenditures, but instead closes other budgetary needs, its volume this year (about $ 41 billion) is approximately equal to this year's budget expenditures per sector of security and defense (1 trillion 692.6 billion UAH). Plus, direct supply of weapons and ammunition on a free basis.
Judging from public statements of parliamentarians that money to pay the military in the budget will end, we can consider that the figure of € 120 million is closer to the truth, which Ukraine spends every day for war, which was heard in German media a month ago. According to such estimates, to continue to fight, Ukraine requires about 2 trillion hryvnias a year. This is even more than the total revenues of the state budget for this year (1,746 trillion UAH).
At the same time, all our partners warn the Ukrainian authorities that the help will continue to decrease because it is even more difficult to support Ukraine at the current level of "As Long as Needed", even at the current level. Therefore, Ukraine will have to increase taxes, which IMF literally emphasized: "Tax revenues should increase in 2025 in order to ensure critical costs."
It seems that our absolutely atypical in the history of the “Sita War” - with overcrowded supermarkets and restaurants, with unprecedented even for the peaceful time the number of new elite cars purchased, with billions of hryvnias spent on the landscaping of cities, and millions of dollars to build cottages - such a war is coming.
Ahead is a heavy winter. According to the premiere, it may be the most difficult. Ahead - delays in cash payments to servicemen and other state employees. Ahead is a reduction in government order, which is now a national economy driver. Ahead - degradation due to underfunding of health care systems and education. Ahead is the increase in social injustice and pressure on business.
That is, a typical war ahead, with all its difficulties and poverty. A war for survival. And not only on the front, but also in the deep rear. We collided in a tangent in the spring of 2022. And which they read about in books and looked in movies.
God forbid that I could be wrong and we manage to avoid all this. God forbid that our war continues to remain tragic, but at least a sieve. But it is discouraged that the debit loan is no longer converging. And they will not go next, the more.
I wonder how ready to fight for full victory in the conditions of the "hunger war"? What is more difficult, it is more fair to those who are in the chances. And how many will remain against any compromise with the aggressor state?
