In his post, publicist Yuri Bogdanov spoke about the reaction of China and Putin to the transfer of hostilities to the territory of the Russian Federation and explained what political consequences could be from surgery in the Kursk region.
China reacted to events in the Kursk region with a call to de -escalation. The Chinese Foreign Ministry statement states that "the war zone should not be expanded, the escalation of armed conflict should not be allowed and provocations that lead to increased fire by either side."
In addition, Putin began to generate hysterical statements about "no negotiations with Zelensky."
These events, in my opinion, should be considered together, because these statements come from one logic - this "peace plan of China", which is nothing more than a mitigated version of the "peace plan of" Putin (capitulation of Ukraine) on August 6 and there are no special signs that he will have a new chance.
Give the points. What does China want?
1. China is interested in that Russia becomes more dependent. Because it is the Russian Federation that is an insurance platform and as a supplier of relatively cheap resources.
2. China is extremely important that Russia maintains controllability and remains a relatively reliable counterparty. Therefore, these are all the fantasies that China sleeps and sees how Siberia is taking away in Russia. China does not need to control Siberia, because the Russian Federation will give the PRC everything they need.
3. China does not want to participate too much in the war in Ukraine, although it supplies the Russian Federation of dual -use goods. Because they are already in a state of the Cold Trade War with the United States and do not want additional political and economic escalation with Europe. In addition, the issue of secondary sanctions was activated and the desire to fall under the sanctions of two key trading partners (US and EU) in the PRC.
China's peace plan is an attempt to demonstrate its subject for the Global South countries and their own ability to resolve global issues while remaining nominally neutral.
But this peace plan is consciously beneficial to Russia and allows you to declare its victory in the event of fulfillment. But at the same time he appeals to humanism, because the main thing is to "stop bloodshed". The guys with the CCP are just those people who think about human lives, yeah.
So, these are all the plans of "peace for the sake of conservation of lives" (hypocritical beacon) and "peace with the realities on earth" are burning like straw, if Ukraine occupies at least a square kilometer of Russian territory. Real Russian territory. And even if the operation in Russia considers the control of its territory as a side effect - the Chinese understand everything and Putin understands everything. Therefore, such a nervous reaction.
In addition, some of the Dobrynny laughed at the peace summit, but its declarations in the first stage are quite clear (for example, in the part of the Zaporizhzhya NPP). And Ukrainian actions do not violate them.
There will be nothing wrong if the Second Peace Summit Declaration appears that the parties have to return to each other occupied territories. The main thing is not to turn it into an end in itself. Military and political leadership showed flexibility and creative. Flexibility should be an advantage in the future.
Now let's give Putin a little about his "I will not negotiate."
First, it was already. Many times from the beginning of the war he said it and then returned to the topic of negotiations. He is pathologically lying and easily abandons his own words.
Secondly, I have said this many times-he or his successors will only be real negotiations when:
• Either he gets very painful on his teeth and the situation will be very dangerous for her
• or when the potential of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will be exhausted so much that it will not be possible to continue the war for Russia
• or when the internal stability of the regime is a crack
,
His invasion in the Kursk region brought himself out and his system responded quite poorly to the Black Swan. The event was not afraid and even approved the escalation, which he also did not expect.
Therefore, he runs and makes semi -hi -hunting statements "Sap the Pamagitus Hakhli Barse." That's good. We and partners need to use a window window when red lines have become brown.
