Russian dictator Vladimir Putin feels that traditional nuclear threats are no longer in place, and is looking for new ways of intimidation. According to The Washington Post, within the Kremlin the realization that the repeated use of nuclear threat begins to lose its effectiveness, and Moscow's red lines are constantly intersecting.
Analysts and high -ranking officials close to Russian diplomacy believe that Putin is counting on a more limited event's response that Ukraine will allow Ukraine to use more rockets for strikes in Russia. One of the Russian officials said anonymously: “Nuclear threats were bust. There are already immunity to such statements, and they do not frighten anyone. "
The scientist who cooperates with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation believes that the use of nuclear weapons is unlikely, as this can lead to negative consequences for Russia in the global south. He stressed that the event has a powerful military infrastructure, and there will be many vulnerable places.
It is noted that the indecision of the United States in the abolition of a ban on western weapons in the Russian Federation can reassure the Kremlin. However, Putin feels pressure to respond to possible blows.
Some analysts believe that any blows in Russia can be a serious internal political problem for the Kremlin. Tatiana from R-Politik noted that such actions can change the balance of strength. Lawrence Friedman suggested that Moscow could fit sabotage operations in other regions.
According to the political analyst Sergiy Markov, Russia will still have to escalate the conflict, as the event has already learned not to be afraid of Russian "red lines". The state, in turn, believes that Putin does not yet know how to protect his interests.
The ambiguity of which Putin steps will choose in response to the event. According to Friedman, Putin's nuclear threats remain intentionally ambiguous, allowing Western countries to interpret them in the worst light.
