Cyril Budanov, Head of the Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense, stated that the Russian Federation is currently maintaining economic sustainability, but there is hope for turning points in 2025.
Budanov stressed that currently economic chains in the Russian Federation remain intact, but crisis phenomena are increasing. He also noted that the war can last long due to the refusal of the enemy to sign treaties with Ukraine and allies.
Budanov shared forecasts for possible changes in Russia by 2025. He pointed to factors such as systemic changes in the economy, external supply of military equipment, and increased fatigue from war.
Despite the preserved economic stability, the crisis of fuel is marked in Russia, a sharp rise in price of food and other goods. These factors shake the economy and social sphere of the country, causing real problems.
The head of GUR expressed hope for turning point of systemic devastating changes in Russia in 2025, but stressed that it was not a forecast, but only expectations. Having noted the globalization of the conflict and the emergence of new processes, Budanov emphasized the need to carefully study the situation, since new factors can make significant changes in the calculations.
Having noted the territorial appetites of Russia, the head of the GUR pointed out the importance of Ukrainian efforts in the war. Budanov emphasized that based on the experience of the conflict between Russia and Japan, it is important to keep in mind the duration of territorial conflicts.
Concerning the end of the war in Ukraine, Budanov noted that it is unknown when it will end. However, he pointed to the progress of the Armed Forces and predicts that 2025 could be key for internal changes in Russia.
Budanov completed, noting that the war is globalizing on a monthly basis, generating new challenges and influencing the calculations. He called for careful analysis and response to changing circumstances.
