After a massive blow to Iran with rockets and drones in Israel in response to the Israeli blow at the Iranian consultant, the main question will intervene in the US war.
Although Iran stated that he considers the situation "exhausted" and does not intend to attack anymore, Israel has already stated that he would give his answer.
The US media has repeatedly written (https://t.me/stranaua/142306) about the White House fears that the Israeli government will try to draw the United States into war against its main enemy - Iran.
Israel himself has never been officially denoted, but it is logical. Gas battles have shown that the Israeli army could not destroy the relatively small Hamas, which has no air defense systems and has almost no heavy weapons.
In such circumstances, the beginning of the War of Israel, even against the Lebanese Hezbolla, not to mention Iran, will be a decision, to put it mildly, controversial.
Alone Israel is not capable of causing military defeat or any significant damage to Iran, except using nuclear weapons. But even she, given the relatively small number of warrior in the tacha, will not cause Iran's deadly blow, but at the same time will send Israel to international isolation.
Therefore, without the support of the US, the war against Iran for Israel is not just meaningless, but it can be detrimental.
US media sources have already reported that Biden has made it clear - America would join in response to Israel. And this line Washington adheres to the beginning of present exacerbation in the Gaza sector.
Why?
Not because Biden loves Iran. On the contrary, Tehran is hostile to Americans and, in addition, according to Western media, it is almost on the verge of nuclear weapons. Therefore, Iran's devastating stroke would probably not mind.
The question, however, what to apply?
As the war in Ukraine showed, there is not enough air to win over a large state with a developed air defense system. Need a land army. Considering that the population of Iran is almost 90 million people, that is, more than twice as much as the Ukrainian population of Ukraine, the invasion forces must be repeatedly larger than those involved in the Russian army (even with the amendment to the United States Air and Sea). There are no such forces in the Middle East. And in principle, finding so many troops for Washington will be problematic. Not to mention that they will act far from the US borders, and their communications and bases in the region will be vulnerable to Iranian blows. As a result, the war can turn into "Vietnam and Iraq" in Cuba and nothing good for America, if again, do not use nuclear weapons. But then this will open the door for the World War, removing the taboo in other nuclear powers.
The situation would be different if Iran on the US and Israel's side would be Turkey, a powerful military state in the region. But it is impossible to imagine now that Turkey, against the background of the war in gas, is ready to speak on the side of Israel against Iran.
Therefore, the United States will make every effort to avoid getting into the war. And perhaps the pressure on Israel will increase so that it stops the fighting in gas that interfere with Washington's policies in the Middle East.
Iran is now unlikely to go on an escalation initiative. The fact that the ovary is in the war in the Gaza sector, and Hezbolla keeps in tension north of Israel, Iran is still fully satisfied. In addition, he needs to win time to create a nuclear bomb (if she really writes, "on the approach").
As for Netanyhah, he is unlikely to give up the USA Putting Plan to the war with Iran. That is why new strikes of Israel on Iran, and therefore a new Tehran answer and a subsequent coil of escalation are possible. The calculation of Israel that if the case of a great war comes, the United States will not throw its ally in an unequal battle with the "axis of evil".
However, Americans probably see this prospect of developments. Therefore, at some stage, put a very rigid requirement to stop the stroke. And perhaps this requirement has already been made after Iran's strokes.
