According to the monitoring channel "Belaruski Gayun", since July 11, four "Shakhda" has entered the airspace of Belarus, flying Ukraine. Many are interested in such an unusual launch of drones on the side of the Russians. Igar Tyshkevich,
Version 1: Chinese factor
In the last two weeks, Belarus has visited two delegations from the NVAK, as well as joint training. This may indicate a possible Chinese military presence in the country. Although this does not necessarily mean the creation of the base, there is a likelihood of forming a response center provided by the SCS documents, which was a member of Belarus three weeks ago.
In addition, the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Belarus emphasized the support of the Chinese Plan for Conflict Settlement in Ukraine during a visit to China. This is interesting, because Putin, during his visits to the DPRK and Vietnam, repeatedly declared the inadmissibility of this plan for the Russian Federation. Thus, the flight of drones can be a symbolic demonstration for China that Belarus is not a subject in safety, and Russia can do as it is convenient.
Version 2: playing the Ukrainian public
Another version is that the actions of Belarus can be an attempt to influence Ukrainian public opinion. Imagine a situation where Shakhi flying to Ukraine is beaten in Belarus. This will be the number one theme in Ukrainian media and can have a positive effect on the image of Belarus. Repetition of such cases can enhance this effect and attract the attention of Ukrainian elites in dialogue.
This probable game may be part of the preparation plan for negotiating with Russia. Or, it can serve as a lever of influence in the context of the Chinese track, where the beating will only be confirmed after the China's intentions to ensure military presence in Belarus.
