Jay Di Vance, a probable Vice President in the event of Donald Trump's victory in the upcoming elections, becomes the object of attention of Ukrainian and Russian experts because of his views and influence on the geopolitical situation.
According to the expert Alexei Golobutsky, Ukraine does not like it because it perceives it as an article of "powerless expenditures on corrupt officials" and the costs of scarce weapons, which may be needed at any point at any point. But the Russian Federation annoys Di Vance, as a proxy of China, the expert says. At the same time, Golobutsky adds that Di Vance, as, after all, and the whole team of Donald Trump, focused primarily on the fight against China.
"Accordingly, for the Kremlin, such a vice-president as Vance in the case of Trump's victory is a very questionable win. It is possible that it promotes a rapid, non-toink and short-term truce in which Russia will be control over the occupied territories on certain conditions. It will cost Putin and current and strategic losses, ”Golobutsky said.
In addition, the expert emphasizes, and Vance so and Trump insist on increasing the defense expenditures of NATO countries and increased military capacity of Europe. Against this background, Golobutsky says, for Putin's dictator, it will no longer be in principle whether Ukraine will become an official member of the Alliance in the near future, because it will strengthen NATO base along the borders of almost the entire inhabited part of the Russian Federation.
"Both Vance and Trump look at the situation as businessmen, not statesmen. Accordingly, they do not have a rigid ideological frame, which will not allow deviation from the initial course. If they are profitable - they will look into Ukraine by much more weapons and finances than Biden," the expert said.
In his opinion, this scenario is more likely to be hypothetical, as the basic requirement of a peace agreement for Russia is predicted - “you stop a close relationship with China, stop maintaining its initiatives, stopping to promote its influence in the Asian region and on the planet as a whole through Brix, and stop supporting anti -dollar policies.
However, Holobutsky adds, but the Russian economy has already grown too deep into Chinese - on the PRC directly and indirectly depends on both raw material exports and technological imports. India is unlikely to become an alternative: while fashion has shown its readiness to remove cream from Russia's sanction problems.
"So, for objective reasons, Putin will not be able to take the obligation to Trump from the Union with China, nor guarantee compliance with even the most soft and vague obligations. And the business logic of Trump (and Vens too) in the following situation: if the offer is not working on the other party. Ukraine is pumped to everyone that at least Russia is not able to think about interference with global policy on the side of China and supporting the initiatives of SI, but simply fought with Ukraine.
