At the second inauguration, Donald Trump proclaimed himself a "peacemaker", promising to restore stability in global relations. However, only a few months later, his presidency was at the epicenter of a number of crises that ask the administration to effectively resolve global conflicts.
In the coming months, Trump will meet with three "hot" wars, the Cold War, a potential war and a trade war. All this is against the background of growing internal and external problems that seriously undermined the economic power and strategic stability of America. The most obvious and important for international security is the war in Ukraine. Trump was initially convinced that the conflict could be stopped quickly by applying sanctions against Russia and forcing Ukraine to abandon the ambitions of the return of its lost territories. However, Vladimir Putin's maximalist goals, as well as his confidence in gradual victory, complicated the achievement of peaceful settlement. Trump will now have to make an important decision: to increase pressure on Russia through economic sanctions and military support of Ukraine, or to allow the war to go. The first option will require greater military involvement and can lead to significant consequences for European security, while the second option will jeopardize stability in Europe and NATO security.
Currently, the United States is actively involved in the Middle East conflict, causing hussites in Yemen, but these actions do not produce results in restraining their influence. In parallel with this, Israel launched a new military campaign against Hamas in Gas, hoping for the final victory. However, these wars can only be a prelude to a larger conflict with Iran through his nuclear program. Trump, faced with the choice between a minimalist approach (simply keeping Iran from creating nuclear weapons) and more ambitious goals (complete destruction of the Iranian nuclear program), is on the verge of a serious dilemma. If an agreement with Iran is not reached by mid -summer, he will have to decide whether to give a military action to restrain Tehran. In addition to hot conflicts, Trump also enters a new phase of the Cold War with China. At the beginning of his second term, Beijing hoped to reach a major agreement with the United States, but now relations between countries have become much more stressful. China states that he is ready to fight to the end, and the situation with Taiwan is becoming increasingly dangerous. Trump has the choice: whether to demonstrate weakness in a commercial dispute, or to strengthen the confrontation with China. Each of these options carries risks to economic stability and global safety. The trade war that is actively developing between the US and other countries is another important problem for Trump. Already in early April, he transferred the introduction of the highest tariffs for goods from many countries, except for China. This could only be a temporary decision, and it is important whether it would be able to conclude stable trade agreements or at least reduce the level of tensions in the world market. Trump meets all these challenges in conditions where the internal situation in the United States is far from ideal. The economy, which has undergone serious upheavals, is in recession, and the alliances of the country, in particular within NATO, are being undermined by Trump's unpredictable foreign policy. His actions are asked the ability of the US to manage global crises.
In addition, the inability of the Trump team to properly manage the Pentagon and the National Security Council further complicates the situation. Will Trump be able to take control and avoid global disasters will be resolved in the coming months.
