ACTUAL

Will the enemy be able to break through the Kurakhivsko-Vugledar bridgehead?

The Command of Groups of the Yug and Vostok troops intensified the attacks in Kurakhiv and the Uremiyevsky directions, seeking to displace the Armed Forces from the Colors-Kurakhivskyi speech and restore control in the Berdyansk direction. Military expert Konstantin Mashovets analyzes the situation and results of attacks that continue in these areas of the front. He notes that attempts to break through the enemy in these areas have not yet achieved significant success, and the task of eliminating the Kurakhiv-Vugledar bridgehead remains difficult for the Russian forces.

Today there will be a southeastern "angle" of the front. Kurakhiv and Uremiyevsky directions.

About a week ago, the command of the troops (UV) "Yug" and "East" of the enemy resumed attacking \ assault actions in separate sections of the line of combat collision (LBZ) of these directions. In fact, the meaning of these actions is the next attempt to displace the Armed Forces from the Colors-Kurakhivskyi speech, as well as to restore the provisions that existed in the Berdyansk direction before the start of the Ukrainian offensive in 2023.

In particular, after a brief "fixing" in the occupied settlements of Staromayorsk and Urozhizhny:

  • advanced units of the 37th Separate Rifle Brigade (OMSBR) of the enemy from his 36th All-Military Army (IDV), the 5th separate tank brigade (OTBR), with the support Action along the east coast of the wet river, in the direction of the crop -well -being;
  • In turn, on the opposite (western) shore of this river, the units of the 394th and 114th Motorized Rifle Regiments (SME), the support of separate units of the 218th tank regiment (TP) from the 127th Motorized Rifle Division (MSD) of the 5th Twilight of the enemy, tried to break through the village of Makarivka.

Currently, the above attempts of the enemy have ended almost unsuccessfully for him.

Also, in the lane of action in "East" the advanced units of the 36th OMSBR from the warehouse of the 29th All-Military Army (IDA) of the enemy during the current place carried out limited attackers / assault actions in directions:

  • Mykilsk -Vugledar;
  • Volodymyrivka-Shakhta “South Donbass”;
  • Sweet-water (39th OMSBR, from the 68th Army Corps).

These actions of the enemy are still ongoing for him without much success.

In his turn, in the lane of the troops (forces) in "Yug" the enemy continued his attempts to step in the general direction on Kurakhovo and towards Konstantinovka, in particular:

  • Advantages of the 9th OMSBR from the 1st AK, the 103rd Motorized Rifle and the 163rd Tank Regiments (SME \ TP) of the 150th Motorized Rifle Division (IAS) carried out a series of attacking actions in the direction of Marinka-Maximilyanivka, trying to break into the latter. But then St. George's advanced and could not be able to get. And the Russian itself is only partially controlled by the Russians.
  • In the fields of Pobeda-Konstantinovka and Novomykhailivka-Konstantinovka "the main effective person" continues to perform the 20th Motorized Rifle Division (SME) of the enemy from his 8th ID. In the expressed directions, it was almost completely introduced by the enemy into the battle, consisting of all 3 of its motorized rifles (242nd, 255th and 33rd SMEs), as well as the "staff" tank regiment (TP)-10th TP.
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Currently, the enemy seeks to fully control the village. Paraskovka and move from her to the Marinka -Vugledar road (she is 00532), bypassing the village. Konstantinovka from the north. Obviously, the tactical group acting on the part of Pobede should "soda" that part of the division that comes from Novomikhailivka.

It should also be added that in the lane of the 20th SMEs, at least 3 more motorized rifle regiments of territorial troops (TRV SMEs), which are probably promptly subordinated to the headquarters of the 20th MSD, have been introduced into the battle.

To the south of this direction, in the general Directorate of Sweet and Water, as I pointed above, operate units of the 39th OMSBR and a consolidated tactical group of the 18th machine-gun-artillery division (rush), from the warehouse of Vostok.

At this time, the enemy has been in general in this southeastern "corner" of the front during the spring and half of the summer to achieve sufficiently limited results, in particular:

  • to reflect the two previously liberated Armed Forces of the village in the Uremiiv direction (towards the Great Novoselka) - Staromayorsk and Urozhizhne;
  • To capture the village. Novomikhailivka and most of the village. Paraskovka;
  • Fix in the central and eastern parts of the village. St. George;
  • to push our advanced units in the most dangerous direction-Vladimir-Shakhta "South Donbass", but clearly not much;
  • Go on the next few landings on the Sweet Directorate…

But, as far as I understand, the main tasks in these areas, namely, the complete displacement of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces of Marinka-Vugledar (and therefore, the elimination of the entire Kurakhiv-Vugledar speech), as well as the "restoration of position" in most of the lane of the troops (forces) in the "East", we are still sufficient, to say.

Obviously, from the possible (planned?) Actions to cover the Kurakhiv-Vugledar speech (bridgehead) of the Armed Forces by rapid breakthrough towards, in fact, Kurakhov (and in this way the conditions for coverage of the bridgehead from the north, and from the south, such conditions were created earlier), commanded by the enemy. I suspect - forced.

The enemy made several attempts to "break through St. George". Just as in the spring he tried to step towards the Golden Niva, as well as from the turn of Shevchenko -Pavlivka.

But all this ended for him, in fact, failed. In addition to a few "small-tactical" heritage, it did not bring him anything significantly. In particular, about the hypothetical "cover", regarding Kurakhiv-Vugledar speech, possible operation.

Therefore, obviously, from early spring, in parallel with the "experience" regarding the "rapid breakthrough on the Kurakhovo" command of the enemy began the practical implementation of the usual plan for itself from the front and slow displacement Water "south of Novomykhailivka, sporadic attempts" bypass the coal ", then from the east, then from the west, etc.).

That is, obviously, before the command of the "Yug" the enemy was set a very specific and clear task-to eliminate the Ukrainian Kurakhiv-Vougledar bridgehead, dangerously elongated towards Vladimir and Volnovakha.

Moreover, as far as I understand, the "direct soda" in the "yug" in this case was to provide in the "East" (by the forces of their right-fledged 29th name and 68th ak), which, in its Christ, the task "returned everything" in their own "and independent way.

Currently, the Command of Yug and East is quite far from achieving this kind of results:

  • It does not work to break into Kurakhovo. Even at the border sharp - Maximilyanovka it is impossible to get out;
  • The fighting for Konstantinovka (a key point in the northern part of the bridgehead) promises to become even more "costly" to the enemy than even the fighting for Novomikhail. Moreover, it is not the fact that the 20th MSD of the enemy will succeed in it;
  • Water for the 39th OMSBR of the enemy, everything also remains "quite distant". Moreover, the pace with which the enemy moves in his direction, "and rankly" the amount of losses that he simultaneously suffers, even closely incapacitated;
  • Well, the re-capture of the two villages in the Greaternovoselivsky direction (Staromayorsk and Harvest), which took the enemy all winter, spring and almost half of the summer and cost, at least, the "blackening" of the 60th OMSBR, it is hardly possible to consider the "resulting result"

We sum up

Considering the dynamics and the main trends on the development of the situation in other operating areas, the command of the UV "Yug" and "East", which, in fact, operate in Kurakhiv and Uremiyevsky directions, to count on significant reinforcement with additional forces and means is hardly worth it. At least in the near future. For the most part, you will have to do their own (that is, those that are already concentrated and deployed in their composition).

At the same time, the task of eliminating the Kurakhiv-Wugledar bridgehead of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is unlikely to be removed. Therefore, of course, they will try to attack and storm.

Interesting else: in what scope and volume? One thing is when you have an "unlimited" for additional forces and means, the other is when you have to act exclusively by the "expense of internal reserves". Quite different indicators ...

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