The Institute of War Study reports that Russian troops have restored the initiative throughout the hostilities and are now able to conduct offensive operations at their own request and discretion, as they keep this initiative.
According to military analysts, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky has declared the preparation of a new offensive, which is planned to be started in late May or in the summer of 2024. Zelensky also noted that the Ukrainian military has a finished plan to counteract Russian aggression.
Military analysts continue to argue that after the counter -offensive of Ukraine in the summer of 2023, Russian troops have prevailed throughout the military action and will now be likely to determine the time, place and scale of future offensive operations in Ukraine.
If Ukraine continues active defense throughout the military action in 2024, it can lead to Russia's strategic initiative. Russian troops will be able to freely maneuver their reserves and determine the allocation of resources, forcing Ukraine to conduct defense battles as long as Russia retains a strategic advantage.
However, Ukrainian troops can deprive Russia of these opportunities if they have sufficient resources to respond to Russian initiative and carry out their own offensive operations in 2024.
In the east of Ukraine, Russian troops continue to move, using the momentum after the capture of Avdiivka and the retreat of Ukrainian troops into more favorable positions. The main focus of the invaders focuses on the Mariinsky direction, where there is an increase in the number of Russian storms. Now the Armed Forces has more problems with the lack of ammunition, which can only be sufficient in the summer, which leads to the construction of lines of fortification near the front line.
