It is difficult to put a Syrian armed conflict within traditional confrontations. As the political analyst Igor Tyshkevich emphasizes, the situation is much more complicated here than a simple confrontation with Assad or Assad. Syrian conflict is a multilayered ball of internal and external interests that continues to determine the dynamics of events in the region.
The Syrian Civil War became a arena where they "all fought against all." At least a dozen political and military groups participated in this conflict, and at some stage they all united against a common enemy - the "Islamic State" (ID). Numerous foreign states were also involved in the confrontation, including Russia, Iran, Turkey, the United States and the United Kingdom, which operated both on Earth and from the air. However, most hostilities ended in political agreements, which forced the heterogeneous groups to coexist in one territory. For example, in the northern region there was a Turkish "proto -state" zone, which functions autonomously from Syria, while in the East there is control of Syrian Kurdistan.
Turkey plays an important role in the conflict. Its activity is caused not only by the desire to withstand the ID or the Kurdish forces, but also by the desire to increase influence in the region. Control of Syrian Turks and restraining the expansion of Syrian Kurdistan are the key tasks of Ankara. The potential emergence of the Kurdish state would be a threat to Turkey, which explains its military operations, such as the "olive branch". Current fighting indicates a new coil of tension. Hayat Tahrir Ash-Shaam detachments (HTSH) began an offensive, capturing Aleppo-a strategically important city. The success of HTS was accompanied by the activity of the Syrian National Army (SNA), which is fighting against Kurdish forces. This testifies to Turkey's intention to strengthen its position in the region, while weakening both Kurds and Iranian proxy.
The implementation of such a scenario will weaken the positions of Iran, as well as a partial fall in the influence of Russia. Turkey, on the other hand, can begin the formation of a new "proto -state" with the capital in Aleppo. The Kurdish forces are under pressure, which is asked to ask the future of their enclave in the north.
The next stage of the conflict is political consultations on the future of Syria. Turkey seeks to use its achievements to obtain additional concessions. However, peaceful settlement looks distant because of the numerous differences in the interests of the parties involved.
