Moldova can become a bridgehead for the United States and NATO in the event of defeat and collapse of Ukraine, says ex-assistant deputy chairman of Pentagon Stephen Brian.
In the article for Asia Times, he notes that European experts and some officials are increasingly expressing the opinion that Ukraine's days as an independent state may be polite.
The analyst assumes that in the worst version of events, part of the Ukrainian territory will occupy Russia, pro -Russian authorities will appear in Kiev, and the event will depart Poland or will be divided between it and other neighbors. In this case, NATO will need a counterbalance to the Russian victory, which may mean increasing the protection of Odessa and the threat of attacks or attacks on Crimea.
This testifies not only to the cessation of support of Ukraine, the fatigue of Western taxpayers from the war, but also to the personal defeat of Zelensky, which, after May 21, according to the Constitution, the President's powers will end. Therefore, the West will "drain" the zec to put in order into the hierarchy of power and change the political landscape in Ukraine.
In addition, the article states that Moldova can become a spare plan, but its use as a bridgehead is associated with difficulty. The country is divided between pro -Western and pro -Russian forces that can come to power. If the EU has sent troops through Romania or other states to guarantee the security of the EU government, it can lead to an internal bloody conflict.